Let's not forget new planes, which I feel are bound to include CVM sensors in the not too distant future...
"Airbus says it will crank out 60 planes a month by 2019. Boeing plans to build 47 planes each month next year and ramp up to 57 in 2019."
From: https://www.google.com.au/amp/s/www.wired.com/2016/09/boeing-builds-737-just-nine-days/amp
So...
By 2019, we are looking at a combined 117 planes per month.
Now while @OptiontraderMGR is using $140k per plane above, I will use a more conservative $50k per plane (I believe sensor revenue was indicated to be between $20k and $70k per plane by management, given how much we are estimating sensors are worth now I suspect this is fairly conservative so have gone a bit higher than the mid point).
So 117 planes by $50k gives $5.85M.. Per month, 70.2M per year.
Given that we have been told these sensors are very high margin I am working on 80%. So after expenses and taxes are removed I get around $39M profit. With 112M shares on issue that is approx $0.348 per share and at a conservative PE of 15 for a rapidly growing stock like SMN will be we have a SP of $5.22.
Just for new planes
Not counting fit out of existing planes (my figures are a bit different to Optiontrader's)
And not counting the massive licensing fee!
This stock will be worth multiples of $5.22 in the not too distant future IMHO.
DYOR.
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Mkt cap ! $80.35M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
56.0¢ | 58.5¢ | 56.0¢ | $1.284K | 2.268K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 1000 | 58.5¢ |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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61.0¢ | 1000 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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1 | 4518 | 0.550 |
1 | 12500 | 0.540 |
1 | 4644 | 0.535 |
4 | 20500 | 0.530 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.610 | 1000 | 1 |
0.625 | 9109 | 1 |
0.630 | 6837 | 1 |
0.670 | 1500 | 1 |
0.690 | 6000 | 1 |
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