Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 0 Number of Shares purchased 2018/2019 projected Net profit Company listed shares-Approx Expected future dividends Returned amount in dollars Closing share price 29/03/2018 1 100,000 $6 Million @ 80% 112 Million 0.04 $4,000 $1.00 2 125,000 0.04 $5,000 3 150,000 0.04 $6,000 4 5 2019/2020 projected Net profit 6 100,000 $12 Million 112 Million 0.08 $8,000 7 125,000 80% payout ratio 0.08 $10,000 8 150,000 0.08 $12,000 9 10 2020/2021 projected Net profit 11 100,000 $18 Million 112 Million 0.13 $13,000 12 125,000 80% payout ratio 0.13 $16,250 13 150,000 0.13 $19,500 14 15 2021/2022 projected Net profit 16 100,000 $24 Million 112 Million 0.17 $17,000 17 125,000 80% payout ratio 0.17 $21,250 18 150,000 0.17 $25,500 19
From the above chart, this is my very conservative approach to SMN future dividend returns.
If you invest $100,000 dollars today @$1 per share, your expected conservative dividend return could be over the next three total $38,000. You want to know what your percentage return on this investment will be? PV = $100,000 FV = $138,000 N= 3 years CPT I/Y = 11.3% compounded yearly.
This is all speculation and none of the above is to be taken as gospel! This is my imagination running wild for what could be if SMN signs up more airlines in the near future.
The main point of this exercise is to address the selling down of SMN shares. If you were to believe that we will get confirmation in the next 3 to 4 months, in regards to applications across most aircraft, and we get confirmation that the number of different applications passed is 50% in year 1. Meaning that FAA gives approval for 5 applications for different sections on most aircrafts, with the opportunity to increase further applications in year 2 on further testing results.
This would be a very good outcome as follows: 5 applications x 8 sensors per app = 40 sensors per aircraft across most models. 40 x$2000=$80k per aircraft.
2000 sensors per month x 12 months = 24,000 sensors per year at full production.
24,000 sensors x $2k = $48 million + $14 million from AEM business = $62 Million in year 3.
SMN has already approximately 2,000 sensors in stock. (Pure Guess by me ) Last 4 months could have been in production.
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1 | 4518 | 0.550 |
1 | 12500 | 0.540 |
1 | 4644 | 0.535 |
4 | 20500 | 0.530 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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0.610 | 1000 | 1 |
0.625 | 9109 | 1 |
0.630 | 6837 | 1 |
0.670 | 1500 | 1 |
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