Ha... I just finished putting something together!
There's been so much emotion and opinion today I thought I'd just stick with what I got from Acadia's Earnings Call. My one comment is that I'm personally not surprised by the price action today - this is how the game is played.
- There’s currently 850 patients on Daybue.
- Persistency rate at 7 months is 63%.
- Compliance rate is 75-80%.
- Current average patient weight is in the low 30kgs (v. 27kg used to estimate average pricing at time of launch).
- Current average patient age is 16 years.
- Zero drop-out rate in the patients who rolled over from the Lilac 2 trial.
- Expected Q1 2024 sales of US$76-82m, reflecting closure of most Rett clinics in January with sales pulled forward into December 23 in anticipation.
- Full FY expectation is US$370-420m, including the US$76-82m estimate for Q1.
- Management sees ample opportunity to continue to grow sales. They expect Daybue sales to increase significantly both over 2024 and in the years to come.
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- Ann: DAYBUE net sales US$87.1 million in Q4 2023
Ann: DAYBUE net sales US$87.1 million in Q4 2023, page-74
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