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01/02/21
17:49
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Originally posted by Sjlasx:
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Sadly I saw this same situation play out on AJM threads over the past 18 months. The level of misinformation was so prolific and stated with such confidence that many posters would understandably not know whom or what to believe. It ended up costing many holders there a fortune and while PLS is not in a similar financial predicament unfortunately misinformation costs investors real money. I am regularly reminded of that quote attributed to Mark Twain about arguing with stupid people but it is in my nature to try my best to help others where I can. I will put that poster on ignore now and try to have some faith that newcomers to the sector will do adequate ongoing due diligence.
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Originally posted by Andyrooo:
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I was interested to listen to Joe Lowry's recent podcast. Only 15mins long. From about 4.30, he mentions that Rick Rule has been at it again, playing down Lithium supply as being extremely abundant. https://www.globallithium.net/podcast Episode 93 He did the same in 2017, which didn't work out too well for him. Joe Lowry said that he didn't know Rick Rule all that well ... but does know of him. He suggested that "Mr Rule should do some more research on the Lithium process or stick to his knitting". It was bad enough we had the EV chain getting toppy, a risk OFF sell off on international markets but we had Rule downplaying Lithium producers too. Who can blame RCF for selling off, a MC of A$4.5b looked very generous. Joe also wished PLL the best of luck but mentioned their success is driven by Tesla's agreement for 1/3 of their future offtake. He said, Tesla has proved in the past, signing offtakes aren't worth the paper they're written on. So what does he think of Ganfeng's AVZ offtake? Even less. PLS has expansion plans all laid out and have perfected their production process. We will expand to fill market demand. We're at the front of the queue. The wannabes will have to wait until we're at maximum production. We've proven production success and ability to come to market quickly and assuredly. He also mentioned that Mt Marion continue to struggle with grade. Mt Cattlin also, as they sacrificed recovery (51%) to achieve higher grade and yet they still only achieved sub 6%, in the last quarter. Road freight to and then shipping freight is double from Esperance. All the best to GXY but Mt Cattlin's resource/LOM is so small, it hardly justifies a P/E. James Bay will wait. Similarly, all the best to LTR but a big query over their costings, as they are based on a Stage 2 processor being built nearby (inefficient), plus underground mining. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MwV43iMdT2k Rick Rule talks Lithium from 12m to 13m. Rick basically just says, stick to the big players with low costs. Joe Lowry may have been a bit harsh but Rick Rule has always been dismissive of Lithium producers (to his detriment) ... and still is here. PLS ticks all the boxes with everyone.
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To be a little harsh, we can make more money if there are more people who have no clue... But same here I also feel sad when people fall for some obvious trap. I watched what happened in Myanmar recently and how that has impacted some stocks. I think country risk is a real risk for AVZ, but if I go there shout out loud I would be smashed. I hope they could be successful, just I cannot get my head around the balance of risks and return on AVZ. Good luck to everyone!