Given the size of the big 3 distributors, I can't really see any of them being knocked out of the list. Page 5 of the presentation dated 22/07/15 has a nice graph of distributors vs market size (not HP specific, so variations could be large). That said, the big 3 distributors encompass 71% of the market (merging ED and DD).
If you were to look at HP specific sales, I don't know how other distributors perform, but DD being the largest HP distributor in Australia and having won distributor of the year (along with other awards) should virtually guarantee their position. Of course, there are potential adverse outcomes that others have already covered.
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Given the size of the big 3 distributors, I can't really see any...
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