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IBG

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0.2¢ ironbark zinc ltd

Ann: Director Appointment/Resignation, page-25

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yatchy

9,735 Posts.

833

18/11/17

01:21

Post #: 28910594

Originally posted by Patron ↑

Thanks Burnside.

Graph of Zn LME stockpiles vs price.

http://www.westmetall.com/en/markdaten.php?action=show_diagram&field=LME_Zn_cash

Thinking again about the bigger picture for IBG, the long run investment case is very much on track.

It doesn’t matter whether IBG finance was due a few months ago, or happens by Xmas, or in 6 months, the growing consensus is the Zn price will still be sky high through 2018, supporting this deal.

While China shuts smelting capacity over winter for environmental reasons, Zn metal has to come from stockpiles. Stockpiles falling 40kt per month, so there’s nowhere for the Zn price to go but up.

Dugald River etc can’t supply anywhere near enough to fill the gap, certainly not in 2018, maybe in 2019 depending on the speed of demand growth? But no-one really knows, it could be 2020-21. Even then, off-market stockpiles must be replenished before any true oversupply occurs.

Mine construction timeframe, I reckon 2-3 years realistically, one can take a view on whether global supply will meet demand through the 2020’s… Some are saying the supply response will be big enough for the price to fall back to $1.10/pound. It doesn’t really matter because of where we sit on the cost curve. IBG will be printing serious cash once in production...

And I’ll be around for the mine opening!

Expand

Metal Date: 14 - Nov Date: 15 - Nov Date: 17 - Nov

1 Metal Date: 14 - Nov Date: 15 - Nov Date: 17 - Nov

2 Aluminium -4050 +4550 -3675

3 Copper +525 -3350 -3850

4 Lead +25 -375 -100

5 Nickel -504 +3060 +118

6 Tin -40 +40 -0

7 Zinc -1575 +1425 -2475

Happy Nolly some punters have IBG shares and some donot I put you 2 in the non holder box so why you here? pretty plain to see why you here!

	Metal	Date: 14 - Nov	Date: 15 - Nov	Date: 17 - Nov
1	Metal	Date: 14 - Nov	Date: 15 - Nov	Date: 17 - Nov
2	Aluminium	-4050	+4550	-3675
3	Copper	+525	-3350	-3850
4	Lead	+25	-375	-100
5	Nickel	-504	+3060	+118
6	Tin	-40	+40	-0
7	Zinc	-1575	+1425	-2475

IBG Price at posting: 7.1¢ Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Held

6 Upvote

0 Great analysis

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Last 0.2¢		Change -0.001(33.3%)		Mkt cap ! $3.667M

Open	High	Low	Value	Volume
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No.	Vol.	Price($)
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Price($)	Vol.	No.
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