S32 2.05% $2.98 south32 limited

Ann: Dividend/Distribution - S32, page-15

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    Just as a preview of next weeks announcement by S32 of its annual result, here it is (or at least my approximation of it). My basis is the H1FY22 result, plus the production and prices from H2FY22 (as S32 has already told us), then some adjustments to costs (basically H1 costs plus some conservative allowances for increases in H2).
    It is all in USDollars per S32 reporting.
    ProductProductionUnitPrice UnitProductionPriceRevenueProductionPriceRevenueProductionAv. PriceRevenue



    H1FY22H1FY22H1FY22H2FY22H2FY22H2FY22FY22FY22FY22




    USD$/unitUSD$M

    USD$M


    Worsley AluminaktUSD$/t1979389770201242886139914091631
    Brazil AluminaktUSD$/t6313872446664192791297403523
    Brazil AluminiumktUSD$/t0300000.5300020.530002
    Hillside AluminiumktUSD$/t358295210573563347119271431492248
    Mozal AlumiumktUSD$/t136304141414235915102783322923
    Sierra Gorda CuEquivktUSD$/lb0
    0313.50217313.50217
    Cannington SilverkozUSD$/oz6710211416236211311294621272
    Cannington LeadktUSD$/t60.2218013160.41902115120.62041246
    Cannington ZincktUSD$/t32.729889831.8347311064.53227208
    Cerro Matoso NickelktUSD$/lb20.38.3938221.411.6455841.710.06939
    Illawarra MetCoalktUSD$/t27673038382945457134657123822184
    Illawarra EnergyCoalktUSD$/t3781084141920084797156125
    Aust ManganesekwmtUSD$/dmtu17044.5939116596.0550233635.31893
    South Africa ManganesekwmtUSD$/dmtu10533.4718310164.3922320693.92406
    GROSS PRODUCT REVENUE



    4689

    6129

    10818
    less Operating Costsfor H1 use Revenue minus EBITDA
    -2818

    -2731

    -5549

    for H2 add 500 for SG plus extra disruption costs, royalties

    -500

    -500
    EBITDA



    1871

    2898

    4769
    less DA



    -357

    -357

    -714
    EBIT



    1514

    2541

    4055
    less Net Interestfor H1 ~12, , for H2 assume 50 incl SG
    -12

    -50

    -62
    PBT



    1502

    2491

    3993
    minus taxbased on H1 31.3%0.313

    -470

    -780

    -1250
    PAT



    1032

    1711

    2743












    Shares on issue



    4650

    4650

    4650
    EPSUSD$


    0.222

    0.368

    0.590
    DPS at 40% payout ratioUSD$


    0.089

    0.147

    0.236

    AUD$ at 70c exchange rate









    Of course there will be some exceptional accounting adjustments, but the underlying profit etc will be roughly as above.
    H2FY22 EPS will be USD$0.368 - ie over AUD 50cps
    Full year EPS will be USD$0.59 - ie about AUD 84cps
    Final div if paid out per policy at 40% of EPS will be USD$0.147 - ie about AUD 21cps FF
    And at AUD$4.12 (todays close) S32 is trading on a PE just less than 5,

    It will take the market a little while to accept this phenomenal result.
    Let's check back next week to see if my calcs are close to reality.
 
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