CVN 3.03% 16.0¢ carnarvon energy limited

I wasn't suggesting it's not a buy, hell, I took a long CFD...

  1. 2,672 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 483
    I wasn't suggesting it's not a buy, hell, I took a long CFD position at 26c yesterday which is risky AF.
    Just saying it's better to use previous volumetrics as a very rough guide until they come back with something. You can only fit so much oil into the porespace they were estimating had gas in it. Calling a billion barrels will most likely lead to disappointment the way 300mmbbl OOIP at PS1 did.
    20% porosity would have been in the Monte Carlo simulation somewhere probably on the higher-than-middle side given previous results. I think we can be very hopeful here that it's at least a mid case scenario.

    Honestly though, I'm just waiting for a hydrocarbon indications in the Milne.
 
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