CVN 1.25% 20.3¢ carnarvon energy limited

Ann: Dorado Project Update, page-17

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    Improved Dorado economics can support capital efficiency
    • Many investors have expressed a preference for Santos to harvest FCF
    from existing projects (Barossa, Pikka) vs. entering a new major investment
    cycle with a project such as Dorado (and Papua LNG - for which STO
    does not control timing). We believe improved economics at Dorado will
    allow STO to selldown its Dorado interest such that the majority of its
    net Dorado project capex will be funded by a selldown transaction (ie. we
    expect STO to selldown on better terms vs. CVN's 10% selldown to CPC of
    Taiwan for US$146m).
    • We expect the market to likely need to raise Dorado valuations (MRE
    Santos valuation includes US$1.4bn or A$0.64/sh based on 80% project
    interest at 60% risking factor and on our long term US$65/bbl Brent oil
    assumption).
 
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