All, following on from SM's comments, using some indicative numbers in a spreadsheet, I got a breakeven flow rate of 225mcf/day for this financial year (though the cash situation would rapidly improve in FY2025 with a full year's production). This assumes 8% helium concentration, 4 drills this financial year, 2.5 months' weighted average production across the 4 wells, a USD450/mcf helium price, USD1.5m p.a. in corporate costs, USD400 per drill. Also assumes all the plant costs are fixed costs. The Galactica flow rates reported for the exploration wells were in the range of 300-400. There is some discussion in the broker reports of 400-500mcf/day for a few wells in the Model Dome area which is closer to Voyager but I don't know how much this can be relied on.
Obviously if the helium percentage is only 4% then we would need 450mcf/day to breakeven this FY. Happy to hear any corrections or different views/numbers.
FY24 FY25 Summary Average Flow Rate 225 225 No of Wells Drilled 4 5 No of Producing Wells 4 9 Helium Produced MMcf 3.9 30.4 Operating Profit USD$m -$2.9 $8.9 Corporate Costs USD$m $1.5 $1.8 DrillingCosts USD$m $1.6 $2.1 Net Cash Flow USD$m -$6.0 $5.0 Cash on Hand (EOFY) USD$m $0.0 $5.0 FY24 FY25 Summary Average Flow Rate 400 400 No of Wells Drilled 4 5 No of Producing Wells 4 9 Helium Produced MMcf 6.9 41.5 Operating Profit USD$m -$1.5 $13.9 Corporate Costs USD$m $1.5 $1.8 DrillingCosts USD$m $1.6 $2.1 Net Cash Flow USD$m -$4.6 $10.0 Cash on Hand (EOFY) USD$m $1.4 $11.4
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