""(With that much head pressure, the realistic figure of success must be higher when all the evidence is taken into account.)""
And the evidence are.???
Sorry mate but thus far we have none, and will not know of any until we will get back into that hole and start doing some work.
It could be a real success and a company maker and it might not. Especially if it turns pout to be just a highly pressurised pocket. IMHO, It wouldn't be the first time either.
And we have also been told that we will have to wait for at least another two more years, if not more, to find out.
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