"Game over for this stock as I've wrote in previous comments"
- CF+, no debt, amazing balance sheet: ~$8m cash in bank, ~$2m investment in PSI
- Top line growing, high-calibre team, high-margin, management buying on market etc. etc. etc.
- Doesn't look like game over to me
"Further proof the board has no idea what its doing"
- They have just sold the lower quality half of their business (ENA UK) at the top of the insurance cycle
"Terrible deal for a terrible price"
- In H1 FY22, ENA UK did EBITDA of A$128K and EBIT of A$106K
- The deal was for A$8.2m (75% cash, 25% shares)
- That's a transaction multiple of 32x EBITDA and 38x EBIT(and a PE of 40x) if one annualises the H1 FY22 figures
- It might look like a mediocre price on a revenue multiple (~2x) or on a p/GWP multiple (~21%) but that obscures the fact that the ENA UK business has razor-thin margins, and very heavy regulatory, systems and HR costs
"Even if the Australian business increases 5 fold, they are still worse off."
- The Australian business is running at an EBITDA of $823K in H1 FY22
- That's 6.4x as much profit as ENA UK; the data suggests it is the faster growing, higher quality business for ENA to focus on
- If we grow ENA Aus 5x, they will be doing annualised EBITDA of $8.23m; at that point, ENA should be worth multiples of the current price
- I don't understand why that scenario would be worse off than a business (ENA UK) that was marginally profitable?
"The only way out now is to sell the last asset, become a cashed shell and look for another deal."
- That's not the plan
- ENA Aus is at the beginning of a significant growth runway in their specialist sectors in Australia
- They now have significant funds to execute on strong profitable growth
- Therein lies the future of ENA
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