ENA 0.00% 27.0¢ ensurance ltd

Thanks for taking the time to provide a counter view point.I...

  1. 35 Posts.
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    Thanks for taking the time to provide a counter view point.
    I greatly appreciate an informed opinion and bear case.

    If I'm understanding correctly, you're saying the Australian market isn't big enough to support a listed, stand-alone MGA?
    Ensurance won't scale enough to remain viable through the insurance cycle?

    Given the Aus business appears to be currently profitable (half year rpt) and scaling up, I was thinking there would be some operating leverage to come through.
    Perhaps this is inflated by rates on professional lines being at a temporary high and it doesn't work through the cycle?
    I'm aware of the cyclical nature of the industry and commoditised nature of the product.

    I would have thought the downside is capped though.
    Current enterprise value is ~$13m.
    I would have thought the Aus business is worth more than the UK in a trade sale (greater than $8m)?
    i.e. even the "sell the last asset, become a cashed shell and look for another deal." scenario wouldn't be a disaster?

 
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