0245 GMT [Dow Jones] Base metal prices set to ease in 2006 on changing
supply-demand profile outlook, says Australian government forecaster Abare.
Producer response to global commodities boom, slowing demand growth to result in
$1,648/ton aluminum average in 2006 vs LME 3-month last $1,775, although much
depends on Beijing's ability to curtail exports. Copper, now around record
$3,400, expected to sink to $2,283 as global stocks rise on falling demand,
higher refined metal output. Expected small rise in nickel stocks, firming
expectations of significant supply response, likely to send 2006 average to
$13,875 vs last $16,200. Forecasts US$1,171 zinc next year from $1,312 last, as
consumption slows, increase in concentrates translates into higher refined
output. (JAD)
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