Hello. Lets try to unpack today's announcement.1. 1st EGR must...

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    Hello. Lets try to unpack today's announcement.

    1. 1st EGR must build a mine, which will probably cost at least $US150M probably more.

    2. This mine may produce 73,000 tonnes per annum of graphite products.

    3. 33% or 24,000 tonnes of this graphite (the "fines") may be suitable for spherical graphite.

    4. EGR today announced processing 20,000 tonnes of feedstock (which i guess is "the fines") for what i guess is 12,000 tonnes of spherical graphite.

    5. Therefore the remaining 53,000 tonnes can be sold at higher graphite prices.

    6. Today announced a cost of US$419/t to sphericize the natural graphite.

    7. The natural graphite OPEX is estimated at US$585/t.

    8. Total costs = US$1004/t.

    9. Current revenue may be US$2000/t.

    10. EBITDA = US$12M. for 12,000 tonnes of spherical graphite.

    11. Currently per BKT the fines natural graphite sells for break even at best.

    12. Therefore, today's scheme might possibly add $12M EBITDA.

    13. CAPEX is US$58.6M.

    14. In column 1 below is my estimation of the mine financials.

    15. In column 2 below is my estimation of the mine plus spherical financials; where the spherical is part of the govt profit share & taxed.

    16. In column 3 below is my estimation of the mine plus spherical financials; without govt profit share & tax.

    17. I guess at 66% debt funding, the equity component of the CAPEX capital raising might be done at around 14 cents per share.

    18. Long term market cap for this stage 1 is guessed at A$588M.

    19. Note: the CAPEX below is close to EGR's, which appears much lower than BKT's.



    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6894/6894950-a00a9db91e5027289a7499222f4a7904.jpg





    i



    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6894/6894787-f0d14d571abea0f9d504baa2e37589b6.jpg

    Last edited by GKeden: 24/03/25
 
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Last
32.0¢
Change
-0.010(3.03%)
Mkt cap ! $145.3M
Open High Low Value Volume
33.0¢ 33.0¢ 30.5¢ $37.62K 116.4K

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No. Vol. Price($)
1 8289 32.0¢
 

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Price($) Vol. No.
32.5¢ 35120 2
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