@w27 you are the one making assumptions if anyone is. though i dont think anyone is at this stage
the FS was for starting throughput of 5mtpa going to 16mtpa over 12 years
now you have a notional extra 14mtpa throughput - most of it expected to come from russian commodity freight
in all likelihood that means the track will run at +10mtpa within the first 5 yrs vs the planned 5mtpa
lot of sliding assumption curves - but it could feasibly mean as much as 3x the total rail freight assumed in the 16Mtpa financials would go through
but the real kicker is what i said before - if its planned on 14mtpa from other sources and those are bona fide - the financing certainty just became significantly higher
no one financing a railway wants it relying on just one or 2 projects if they can avoid it
but clearly - many questions for mgt to address
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