Ann: Evion Awarded EU Strategic Status - Maniry Graphite Project, page-45

Hmmm, wonder how keen the U.S. is to break the Chinese Supply chain???

The Race to Replace China’s Rare Earth Dominance Intensifies

June 11, 2025
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Highlights

• China’s April 2025 export restrictions on rare earth components trigger accelerated efforts by U.S. and allied governments to reduce strategic dependency.
• USA Rare Earth expands domestic production with a $800 million magnet plant in Oklahoma and separation technology development in Texas.
• The strategic challenge involves rebuilding the entire rare earth value chain, not just mining capabilities, to compete with China’s established industrial ecosystem.

In the wake of China’s April 2025 export restrictions on rare earth components, U.S. and allied governments are accelerating efforts to reduce their strategic dependency on Beijing. The South China Morning Post(opens in a new tab) highlights rare earths’ central role in automotive, electronics, and defense sectors, emphasizing that China’s monopoly remains a “trump card” in geopolitical tensions—particularly as Washington enforces tariffs and tech curbs.
With U.S.–China trade officials meeting in London this week, critical minerals are at the forefront. China’s delayed export approvals have sent a warning to the West, even as it pledges to resume shipments. In response, American firms such as USA Rare Earth are expanding domestic capabilities. The company operates a magnet plant in Oklahoma, projected to generate up to $800 million annually, and is developing separation technology at a Texas deposit—both aimed at U.S. and allied clients seeking stable, non-Chinese supply chains.
The article quotes a former AmCham China chair who downplays China’s leverage, stating the U.S. can “just find alternative sources.” However, industry leaders like USA Rare Earth CEO Joshua Ballard caution that while progress is being made, replacing China’s role is far from complete. “We’re not going to be the full answer, but we’re going to make a dent,” he admits.
What the SCMP Misses

While the SCMP rightly covers U.S. industrial buildup and China's export leverage, it sidesteps two critical elephants in the room:

• Time Lag and Scale Deficit: The piece glosses over the multi-year lead times and scale mismatch. China's dominance spans not just mining, but refining, alloying, and finished magnet production. The U.S. lacks capacity in midstream and downstream segments that cannot be stood up overnight—even with capital and political will.
• Market Incentive Failure: Most importantly, the article fails to interrogate why Western industry outsourced rare earths in the first place: a decades-long collapse in pricing discipline, driven by China’s state-subsidized overcapacity and Wall Street’s aversion to long-term industrial investment. Without public-private coordination and demand guarantees, U.S. rare earth projects face a structural disadvantage.

Building an alternative to China’s rare earth empire isn’t just about mining—it’s about rebuilding the entire value chain, and the political economy that abandoned it.