SPR 1.64% 90.0¢ spartan resources limited

@ploughI take that back about OBM looking overvalued.Just been...

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    @plough
    I take that back about OBM looking overvalued.
    Just been having a closer look at over their plans.
    Their Sandking UG prospect looks like it will definitely be a second production front. This should push head grade to about 4gt.
    Their plant has a 1.2mpta nameplate. They'll probably need to reduce that slightly to deal with the harder ore blend. 1.1mtpa * 4gt = 130k oz at 92% recovery rate.
    130k * $1,700 margin = 220 million OPCF
    Current EV approximately 665 million.
    OBM EV/OPCF = 3
    SPR EV/OPCF = 2.6
    BGL EV/OPCF = 5.75

    SPR still looks the best value of the three using a back of the envelope estimated operating cashflow as the yard stick although OBM is looking like a pretty good buy if they can ramp up to 2 UG production fronts.
 
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