The Bottom Line
Accounting regulations that require companies to mark their goodwill to market were a painful way to resolve the misallocation of assets that occurred during the dotcom bubble (1995-2000). In several ways, it will helped investors by providing more relevant financial information, but it also gives companies a way to manipulate reality and postpone the inevitable. If the economy and stock markets remain weak, many companies could face loan defaults.
Individuals need to be aware of these risks and factor them into their investing decision-making process. There are no easy ways to evaluate impairment risk, but there are a few generalizations that should serve as red flags indicating which companies are at risk:
1. Company made large acquisitions in the late 1990s (notably the telco and AOL). 2. Company has high (greater than 70%) leverage ratios and negative operating cash flows. 3. Company's stock price has declined significantly since 2000.
Sounds like the step before default to me.
Cheers
Gmac
GBG Price at posting:
4.8¢ Sentiment: None Disclosure: Held