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Ann: Exploration, Development & Corporate Update, page-591

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slay22

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15/01/19

13:50

Post #: 37119736
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Originally posted by Spraks: ↑

No problem, just to expand on the 750 tonnes per annum that would be 62.5 tonnes per month which is within my estimated ~70-75 tonnes of concentrate we can produce max per month (my own calculations as per yesterdays post).

If we took a round, and what I believe to be conservative, $20k usd = $27,748 aud per tonne that would be $1,734,250 cash per month before costs. I'd take off 10% for potential currency fluctuations and penalties of concentrate which would give me $1,647,537.50.

ANW estimates a cost of $17,300 per tonne. I tend to add an extra 10% for conservative reasons which gives me a final estimate cost per tonne of $19,030 per tonne, or $1,189,375 per 62.5 tonnes/month.

That would mean I class $194,837.50 a potential to be lost from either lower revenue or higher expenses, or $2,338,050 per year.

That gives me an annual profit of $5,497,950. If I were to view this as a MC level it'd be around around double what we are currently one, high 2s is my target. If currency and costs were steady i'd say $7,836,000 profit per year, or low 4s. Put that together and i've got my target of 3.5ish cents.

All imo of course, I tend to be super conservative due to the nature of companies I invest in, you never know what costs can blow out.

Expand

then factor in the taronga indicated reserve which should double MC again and X10 after DFS. And then we have the x-factor with mt pembroke and mt cobalt which only has upside impact on MC. Plenty of other upside down the track with Granville & Taronga LOM extensions.

Excellent value atm, should have serious rerate once we see our first check

Imo

ANW Price at posting: 1.4¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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Ann: Exploration, Development & Corporate Update, page-591

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Ann: Exploration, Development & Corporate Update, page-591

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