Ann: FBR Corporate Presentation November 2021, page-77

  1. 205 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 540
    Hi People

    I need some input from readers. I am trying to assess how the cost of laying walls on page 9 of the presentation was assessed and then put my take on it.

    I've assessed the $57 per m2 for manual labour for Maxibrick. That was easy to calculate, however I'm stuck on the H109 modelling. When I apply my methodology I get quite a large amount of consumables when calculating the CMU rate, however, if I am correct the Porotherm Clay block lay rate would not be 50% of CMU rate (ie. $35 to $18).

    Firstly, this is how the $57 per m2 was assessed by FBR in their Corporate Presentation (allow for rounding error):

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3805/3805967-d58b192aff9f3de43bca5c36ab95e87f.jpg

    The key assumptions state to allow for "mortar, sundries and cut bricks". The $6.40 must be this amount. Is this reasonable? I wondered whether the $6.40 covered the actual cost of the brick but quickly discounted as this would make each maxi brick cost around $0.30 ($6.40 / 20.24) and my 5 minute internet search has maxi bricks probably costing around $1.50 each for a heavily discounted buy.

    This is where it gets confusing I tried to assess what the day rate of operating the Hadrian X CMU Unit, having calculated that "according to the presentation slide" the build time for a 351m2 home should total ~22.50 hours. So the estimated lay rate should be the cost to operate for 2 days divided by 351m2

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3806/3806051-5dd29cf67fea97870fa460ba545ad831.jpg

    If $4,185 seems reasonable, then 2 days cost should be $8,370

    In order to get the FBR rate of $35 per m2, this would make the FBR consumables be $11.15 per m2.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3806/3806062-de952a0f4a4dee5d5390d206e76d7529.jpg

    Here is the issue, if my consumables figure is too high, the the daily Hadrain X op costs must be higher, however I think my costings are quite accurate given the assumptions made by FBR and my own take on things.

    Extrapolating the Porotherm Clay Block, I would expect the Hadrian rate to halve to about $12 per m2, but the consumables should stay the same at about $11 (perhaps a little bit of saving but not 50%.

    So my back of the envelope calculation should site the Porotherm Clay block rate at about $21 - $23 per m2 not $18, Doesn't sound like much difference of up to $5, but that is a discrepancy of about 28% which is huge in terms of profitability.

    Can I get some critical evaluation as I am trying to assess how FBR calculated the amounts and then adjust for what I believe to be more current costings and lay rates.

    Off to dinner my wife is screaming at me.

    cheers

    NGNG



 
Add to My Watchlist
What is My Watchlist?
A personalised tool to help users track selected stocks. Delivering real-time notifications on price updates, announcements, and performance stats on each to help make informed investment decisions.
(20min delay)
Last
0.7¢
Change
-0.001(7.14%)
Mkt cap ! $36.62M
Open High Low Value Volume
0.7¢ 0.7¢ 0.6¢ $219.8K 31.73M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
60 22802363 0.6¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
0.7¢ 22119370 12
View Market Depth
Last trade - 14.03pm 03/04/2025 (20 minute delay) ?
FBR (ASX) Chart
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.