While the topic of take overs etc here is something to consider what it may be worth for MND/ALS aloneAs for whether or not PHOENIX will be successful (it's essentially a coin flip, in my view), we can be cautiously optimistic based on previous data (CENTAUR) while bearing in mind the difficulty involved with improving outcomes in a terrible condition like ALS. Because Amylyx trades at an enterprise value just short of $1 billion, the market seems overly pessimistic about its prospects. Hence, I still believe Amylyx is worth the speculation, even as its stock rebounds.
As for my expectations heading into the PHOENIX reveal, I think positive data could boost the stock by 200%. This would imply a market capitalization near $3 billion, which is just three-times Relyvrio's peak annual sales estimates of $1 billion. On the flip side, negative data could send its stock down by at least 50% and introduce doubts regarding the drug's continued marketability in the US and abroad.
PHOENIX is a phase 3 trial in progress, The 3bill is in US dollars so with all options converted to heads that could be about 7 or 8 bucks ozzy..... BELIEVE
That is from a Seeking Alpha artical I will see if I can post all of it in a bit
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