"I am surprised by the re rate without any change in sound fundementals." – I agree, and it's why I have sat out much of the current action. The share price has launched upward on a steep trajectory, but I can't see anything sufficient to sustain it. Sure there are some short term triggers:
- The company's maiden profit. But I'm yet to be convinced that it isn't a fortuitous conjunction of order deliveries and cash receipts. If the next half-yearly delivers a disappointment then watch out.
- Some vaguely related news driven by AI. Those making a direct connection between NVidia (for example) and Droneshield are making a mistake in my opinion. NVidia is a supplier to companies training large generative models. Droneshield is training some form of AI model. This makes Droneshield a client of companies like NVidia, not a beneficiary. In addition, while I have no inside knowledge of what models Droneshield are training, they are almost certainly not generative models.
I'll be trading short term opportunities as usual until the company settles down a bit.
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