MFG 0.10% $10.21 magellan financial group limited

Hi @Jimmyspark213The things to look out for are:1. The Fund...

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    Hi @Jimmyspark213

    The things to look out for are:
    1. The Fund Performance - is it turning around yet?, see below - not this month
    2. The Retail FUM announced in the first week of each month for inflow/outflow - Retail is higher earning and if it stays constant shareholders should be okay. Current Retail FUM loss rate is $400M per month, see table and impact below, should be okay if Retail FUM levels out to $100M per month based on current trend. This will mean PE Ratio is on target for ten times earnings in the current year - due to the loss of FUM this year, the loss of earnings isn't visible until the following financial year. It isn't all bad, $1.45 at the moment, but may head down to $1.34 EPS based on current trend.
    3. The business turnaround plan to be presented by new CEO in October/November
    4. You are right the balance sheet looks pretty good and it will get better with the sale of non-core assets

    The Fund Performance (AUD adjusted it is down -2.5%)
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/4643/4643085-94df08f7fde28ff6c24bd0bf134b8595.jpg

    FUM earnings breakdown table based on historic margins:
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/4643/4643114-3186969706baedc9dbd7219f072e4ad4.jpg

    Best of Luck
    Lost
 
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