RHK 1.33% 76.0¢ red hawk mining limited

I have done an NPV estimate. Assuming FMS hive off the royalty...

  1. 161 Posts.
    I have done an NPV estimate.

    Assuming FMS hive off the royalty into a new listed company (similar to FZR royalty over BRU's assets), based on the assumption that the new company has costs of $1 million p.a., indexed with inflation & no production for 4 years.
    In year 1, we have a run rate of 10 million tonnes, then 20 million each year moving forward.
    I have also assumed that the mine produces 250 million tonnes and ceases. The base royalty of $0.60 per tonne has been used.

    This provides an NPV of $45 million.

    In this scenario FMS (the parent company) would still have the funds from the sale of the PIOP.

    So based on this, the value of the total assets is approximately $100 million.

    This equates to approximately 3.6 cents per share.

    If you assume $1,000 per tonne as a royalty, then you are looking at $75 million for the royalty company.

    These assumption remove the effects of tax.

    Personally I think this would be a good idea for FMS to look at. This way people could hold the speculative asset if the want and for those that want it, they could purchase the revenue stream.

    I am not sure of what the tax implications would be. Personally I would think you would want the losses to be retained with the company to offset the royalty earnings.

    Just my 2 cents worth (I mean approximately my FMS shares worth).
 
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