Ann: FORECAST: NZX: Update on 2012 1H performance

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    NZX
    30/07/2012 08:59
    FORECAST
    
    REL: 0859 HRS NZX Limited
    
    FORECAST: NZX: Update on 2012 1H performance
    
    Update on 2012 1H performance
    
    30 July 2012 - NZX's Half Year 2012 Operating Metrics, accompanying this
    release, highlight the impact of a decline in capital markets activity during
    the second quarter. This trend is similar to the decline witnessed in
    offshore markets.
    
    As is apparent from the NZX Operating Metrics released monthly, whilst
    equities trading volumes continue to be higher than the previous year, value
    traded has declined by 12.4% in the second quarter over the same period last
    year consistent with trends seen in offshore markets.  Derivatives and
    commodities trading continue
    to show strong growth.
    Listings and secondary capital raisings are down significantly on the same
    period last year.
    
    Whilst revenues in NZX's Information businesses have grown relative to 2011,
    the strong uplift in Q1 2012 has pegged back in Q2.  This is both a
    consequence of
    lower seasonal activity and a more cautious setting in the rural economy.
    
    Preliminary unaudited estimates indicate low single digit growth in total NZX
    revenues for 1H 2012 over 1H 2011.
    
    Preliminary unaudited estimates indicate an increase in total NZX expenses of
    approximately $2 to 3 million in 1H 2012 versus the corresponding period last
    year. Approximately two-thirds  of this increase is associated with the CEO
    transition, the Clear Grain litigation and a number of non-recurring items.
    The remainder reflects a reduction in the level of capitalisation of project
    costs in 1H 2012 versus the prior corresponding period, due to a reduction in
    the size of projects under development.
    
    Based on preliminary unaudited estimates, EBITDAF for the 1H 2012 is
    estimated to be between $9 and $10 million. Including the negative foreign
    exchange impact resulting from settlement of the Markit transaction of
    approximately $1.6 million, the preliminary unaudited estimated NPAT for 1H
    2012 is between $3 to $4 million.
    The outlook for 2H 2012 combines a traditionally stronger second half for
    NZX's businesses with some significant market developments against the
    backdrop of a challenging global economic environment.
    
    Secondary issuance has picked up in July, and the anticipated start of the
    MOM programme and the launch of Trading Amongst Farmers should underpin
    increased listing and trading revenues.
    
    The medium-term outlook for the business remains strong. The launch of equity
    derivatives is planned for the first half of next year. NZX also plans to
    launch a series of growth initiatives over the coming months to further
    strengthen our global position in dairy derivatives and improve liquidity in
    the equity market. Resources will also be invested in initiatives designed to
    increase the attractiveness of listing for small and medium-size companies
    seeking capital for growth.
    
    To support these growth opportunities, expenses are expected to increase by a
    moderate amount in the second half of 2012 on a year on year basis (excluding
    costs associated with the trading system upgrade, Clear Grain litigation and
    the launch of TAF).
    
    A more detailed outlook will be provided with the first half results that are
    scheduled for release on 20 August.
    
    ENDS
    End CA:00225428 For:NZX    Type:FORECAST   Time:2012-07-30 08:59:05
    				
 
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