I was going to predict the next quarter's numbers, but my analytics panel went offline for 10 days in this quarter, so I'll have to estimate instead.
Last quarter (Q3):
Users: +3.78m
Projects: +467k
This quarter (Q4, extrapolating to account for the 10 days of data missing):
Users: +2.19m (vs +1.13m in this Qtr last year = +94% YoY, and -42% Q4vQ3)
Projects: +583k (vs +428k in this Qtr last year = +36% YoY, and +25% Q4vQ3)
So Q3 had a big spike in users - maybe some partnership agreements.
But Q4 is showing an uptrend in projects. I believe this is where the money lies.
Q3 quarterly showed freelancer GPV +7% YoY while my numbers show projects actually -4% YoY for that quarter. So they must have started earning higher fees per project YoY in that quarter.
Anyway, for Q4, my numbers show projects +36% YoY, so I'm expecting the GPV to be up strongly this quarter (maybe +36% or so, unless fees per project was significantly down).
And to put it into solid numbers, last quarter had GPV of $45.7m. I'm expecting $57.1m for this quarter (based on projects being +25% Q4vQ3, assuming fees per project to be flat). I think $46m is the quarterly record for the Freelancer platform, so if I'm right about $57m, then we should expect a jump in SP? Maybe cashflow positive?
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Ann: Freelancer 3Q19 Commentary, page-41
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