@joewolf,
I think that what is overlooked with this stock is that it once was rated by the market on P/E multiples in the high-teens (in the decade after the GFC when it was a small cap darling and formed a large part of the small cap index).
By comparison, before the result, the stock was trading at just 10x P/E and even today, after the sharp share price rise since the result, it is only at about 11.5x.
Now I don't think anything near high-teens is the right multiple for this stock (especially not now with it carrying more debt than it has historically... although, at a touch above 2.0x Net Debt to EBITDA, it doesn't pose any existential threat to the company).
At a stretch, I think it's a market multiple stock, so around 15x-16x, but more realistically a 10% to 15% discount-to-market multiple, i.e.. 13x to 14x, doesn't sound unreasonable.
So I think it still has room to re-rate upwards by around 15% to 20% from its current 11.5x level. Add in an additional 10% to 12% EPS growth in FY2024 from the normalisation of the business following the supply chain disruptions of the past 12 months, and you've still got some 25% upside to the share price, in my view.
By the above reckoning, the fundamental value of the stock is around $12.00.
/
.
- Forums
- ASX - By Stock
- Ann: Full Year Statutory Accounts
@joewolf, I think that what is overlooked with this stock is...
-
- There are more pages in this discussion • 5 more messages in this thread...
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Featured News
Add AOV (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
|
|||||
Last
$10.58 |
Change
-0.020(0.19%) |
Mkt cap ! $1.490B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$10.60 | $10.64 | $10.47 | $1.393M | 132.0K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 759 | $10.54 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$10.59 | 1406 | 3 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 759 | 10.540 |
3 | 10213 | 10.520 |
2 | 2895 | 10.510 |
1 | 895 | 10.500 |
1 | 895 | 10.490 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
10.590 | 1406 | 3 |
10.600 | 1193 | 1 |
10.610 | 1193 | 1 |
10.720 | 1387 | 2 |
10.780 | 2446 | 1 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 27/09/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
Featured News
AOV (ASX) Chart |