@SP007
Using a cricketing analogy your reasoning goes like this. Bairstow has batted 3 times in the Ashes for scores of 35, 5 and 113. Given his last score of 113, we can expect him to score 1,356 runs in his next 12 innings.
You are arguing from the particular to the general when you have contrary information. Are you also expecting that SJP (or other funds) are going to withdraw 23bn every month for next 12 months as well. That is the corollary of your reasoning.
@SP007Using a cricketing analogy your reasoning goes like this....
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