MFG magellan financial group limited

not quite right. rare chance of it ever being zero, unless all...

  1. 4,344 Posts.
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    not quite right. rare chance of it ever being zero, unless all FUM is withdrawn (highly unlikely).

    stated policy is:
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/4743/4743898-b783f53eedec9a14748f725f69391f86.jpg


    so of my predicted $120m NPAT, theyll pay ~$90-100m of it. With ~180m SOI = ~55c FOR THE FULL YEAR. probably no perf fee (maybe minor for those funds that didnt perf so bad vs the relevant index...)....pales when compared to history:
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/4743/4743926-e3eba53a158463c22d1e7cf707a8178b.jpg
    ~55c for the year would equate to a ~70% drop....which is about right given the FUM & margin squeeze & hemorrhage!

    should align it to 2014/15 when they had about $31bn in FUM, but less than half the current expense base (one normalises for the other):
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/4743/4743934-1e22b96e3a20767cd3fd8b5684b31ba5.jpg
    either way, historic dividend yield is, well, just that. history WONT repeat here.....!!


 
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