Congratulations DreamRunner for having a plan and sticking to it.
I sold some today too, (not even nearly as many as you!) …. For me, tax free due to a carried forward swag of losses … including from the ex-neighbour.
Thank you Ken
(And being suspicious of the current high prices, I kept a handful in my ‘trading portfolio’ so I can average my price down if I have to re-buy the harvested ones at higher prices… (Buy I will : ))
Another reason for actually trading some out of my ‘trading portfolio’ is that I have been wondering i ‘zoomies’ are leading into a capital raise ?
That’s one potential that might be driving the share price that you left out
@RDL
Time will tell?
And I don’t think this FNArena story on analyst’ views a fortnight back (June 8), has been shared yet?
In it Wilsons says it expects PLS to have potentially increased its production by three times.
…and that lithium demand will be more than ten times higher by 2030 with potential shortfalls being seen by 2025.
And (should PLS get into downstream processing ) it thinks battery grade hydroxide will - by 2030 - be priced 87% higher than it is now …
… And the ever PLS-suspicious, Citi,
upgraded its’ price target to $1.30….. Which seems
very conservative but appears to be based on it agreeing with Wilsons that over the next two years there will be a plethora of other suppliers coming online and squashing prices until 2025
(they think ahead?)
….“
Wilsons suspects this may provide a price ceiling until deficits begin to emerge from 2025 onwards, which in the broker’s view dramatically raises the prospects of much higher lithium prices.”
[Link to full story here ]
Spoiler : In the spoiler are some snippets featuring PLS
Mark Story wrote :
“-Lithium demand expected to increase 10x-plus into 2030
-Lithium could be undersupplied by 2025
-Pilbara Minerals has the capacity for a 3-fold increase on current production by 2030
-Battery grade lithium carbonate and hydroxide prices in China up 73% and 87%”
More excerpts ;
.. “Over the longer term, lithium demand is expected to increase over 10x into 2030, against a committed new supply growth of around 2.5x, exposing a potential large supply/demand deficit.
As Wilsons notes, this creates conditions for buoyant prices, with upside risk a distinct possibility over the short to medium term.
Looking at existing, probable and possible mining projects, and mapping this against the implied global auto EV production and grid-based batteries timelines, Wilsons suggests the lithium market could be under-supplied by 2025.
By the end of the decade, Wilsons believes the under-supply has the potential to be larger than 30% of the market – assuming all known possible mines are brought online.
Wilsons reminds investors that between 2022 and 2024, supply growth will reach its fastest pace at 35%-plus annually, compared to the expected 20% annual average over 2021-2030.
Wilsons suspects this may provide a price ceiling until deficits begin to emerge from 2025 onwards, which in the broker’s view dramatically raises the prospects of much higher lithium prices.
But given that lithium prices have surged since mid-2020, Wilsons concludes investors must buy into the dream of surging demand and constrained mine supply, on the expectation that this deficit will not be lessened via innovation.”…
…
… “Owning 100% of the largest, independent hard-rock lithium operations in the world, Pilbara Minerals is pure-play lithium.
Wilsons notes, the company has the potential for circa 1000ktpa of lithium to be produced by 2030, a three-fold increase on current production.
The broker also notes, Pilbara Minerals has an important role as the largest non-integrated spodumene supplier in the market, and is the most leveraged to spodumene prices in the current upgrade cycle.”….
….….
….. “As the only pure spodumene producer, Citi believes Pilbara Minerals is most leveraged to the spodumene price upgrade and has increased the target price to $1.30 (from $1.10). However, higher prices, particularly for spodumene, also push the broker’s valuations and target prices higher for IGO Ltd ((IGO)) to $7.80 (from $7.30), Galaxy Resources to $4.15 (from $4.00), Mineral Resources to $51 (from $50), while the Orocobre target price is unchanged at $7.60.
Citi upgrades Pilbara Minerals to Neutral/High Risk from Sell/High Risk.
The broker expects the company to benefit the most from high near-term spodumene pricing environment, and increases long term price assumptions (to US$600/t from US$500/t).
Pilbara Minerals is also assessing the potential to process spodumene into a mid-stream lithium product in a joint venture with Calix ((CXL)).
The company is also assessing the re-start options for the recently acquired Ngungaju plant, which could come online earlier than expected. Approval of the POSCO joint venture is also expected in the near-term and will provide Pilbara Minerals with exposure to downstream hydroxide production….”
etc
Cheers