I have some structural concerns about TPG; (EDIT: ok, a lot of concerns)
- Its in a fairly risky stage of their development with the rollout of mobile, im not convinced its a long term win, and their as lot of capital to risk, it could end up a savage fight against 3 stronger opponents that drags out for a decade
- Singapore seems a bit random, going after Vodafones NZ assets would have been much better offshore move.
- Some of its fibre is looking pretty old now, eg. PIPE.
- I dont see the iiNet brand as a good fit for TPG and am surprised the numbers are holding up as well as they are.
- TPG Corporate looks like could use some love, VOC as a company is half the size of TPG but corporate is roughly equal, and VOC has a lot more growth coming that way from ASC.
- I dont like the way the board is organised, what would happen if Teoh fell under a bus, no-one in a healthy organisation should be irreplaceable, there should be more board members as well to have more diverse talent.
- I dont like that its shares are effectively controlled by a couple two people, they can railroad anything through.
It does have its good points though, mainly cashflow and earnings growth, but mobile rollout and declining NBN margin will test that, i despite my concerns i would probably consider TPG a buy at $4.00
The numbers i mentioned before, i was trying to match their Revenue against avg(SIO)*ARPU, but its missing ARPU for iiNet Other. I tried to reverse enegineer the ARPU for other but it would need to be $136/m. Im probably missing something, or calculating it wrong.
- Forums
- ASX - By Stock
- TPM
- Ann: FY17 Results Presentation
Ann: FY17 Results Presentation, page-56
-
- There are more pages in this discussion • 78 more messages in this thread...
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Featured News
Add TPM (ASX) to my watchlist
Currently unlisted public company.
The Watchlist
ACW
ACTINOGEN MEDICAL LIMITED
Will Souter, CFO
Will Souter
CFO
Previous Video
Next Video
SPONSORED BY The Market Online