ARF 0.99% $4.02 arena reit.

I've been invested in this share since day 1.The discrepancy...

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  1. 268 Posts.
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    I've been invested in this share since day 1.

    The discrepancy between book value and market cap and the very tight implied passing yield give me reason to consider my position, with a bit of profit taking at these levels appealing. But I can't see the demand for childcare dropping anytime soon, plus the low gearing and lost cost of debt wont change in a hurry, so I find it difficult to pull the trigger. The divided is useful and robust. I think I've just talked myself into not selling any for now, but will review in 6-12 months time.


    Best Est*2021 FY2021 HY2020 FY2020 HY2019 FY2019 HY2018 FY2017 FY
    1PropertyA1,112.41,112.41,017.2914.0853.3798.3742.9699.4591.7
    2Other assets
    39.139.145.198.637.127.420.826.729.6
    3Total assets1,151.51,151.51,062.21,012.6890.4825.7763.7726.1621.3
    4










    5Borrowings
    240.0240.0235.0215.0207.0188.5196.0179.5171.0
    6Other liabilities
    32.632.632.845.730.526.916.515.017.8
    7Total liabilities272.6272.6267.8260.7237.5215.4212.5194.5188.8
    8










    9Net assetsB878.9878.9794.4751.9652.9610.3551.2531.6432.5
    10










    11Securities on issueC343.6343.6341.9327.3300.0291.3271.3269.4234.8
    12










    13Passing yieldD5.8%5.8%6.1%6.2%6.3%6.4%6.5%6.5%6.8%
    14Gearing
    20.8%20.8%22.1%21.2%23.2%22.8%25.7%24.7%27.5%
    15NAV
    $2.56$2.56$2.32$2.30$2.18$2.10$2.03$1.97$1.84
    16Share priceE$4.17$3.60$2.88$2.19$2.85$2.74$2.41$2.15$2.25
    17










    18Market capitalisationC x E = F$1,433.00$1,237.12$984.58$716.74$855.00$798.16$653.83$579.21$528.30
    19Valuation difference - Market cap to Net Assets - B = G$554.08$358.20$190.18-$35.14$202.10$187.86$102.63$47.61$95.80
    20(as %)G / B63.0%40.8%23.9%-4.7%31.0%30.8%18.6%9.0%22.2%
    21










    22Property (implied)A + G = H$1,666.51$1,470.63$1,207.35$878.87$1,055.40$986.16$845.53$747.01$687.50
    23(as %)G / A49.8%32.2%18.7%-3.8%23.7%23.5%13.8%6.8%16.2%
    24










    25Passing yield (implied)(A x D) / H3.85%4.36%5.16%6.47%5.11%5.16%5.68%6.10%5.82%
    26










    27Best Est* - Applies today's closing price to last reported figures









 
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Last
$4.02
Change
-0.040(0.99%)
Mkt cap ! $1.593B
Open High Low Value Volume
$3.95 $4.06 $3.95 $1.304M 324.4K

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
23 9884 $4.01
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
$4.02 10406 38
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Last trade - 15.18pm 13/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
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