ALK 1.71% 57.5¢ alkane resources limited

Cheers Wassa, not convinced I've made the right decision yet.I...

  1. 3,474 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 2282
    Cheers Wassa, not convinced I've made the right decision yet.
    I believe the key risk for Alkane now is capex blowout for TGEP and Boda/Kaiser.
    TGEP relating to higher-than-expected costs for stripping, HWY diversion/overpass and plant expansion.
    Boda/Kaiser will the economics make sense? After looking at McPhillamy's DFS I started to have strong doubts.

    There's a worldwide industry trend of project cost inflation and now we are seeing an increasing shuttering of previously profitable open pit mining in order to make way for a predominantly higher-grade underground feed.

    WGX ceased open pit mining and fed all 3 processing centres with underground ore.
    OBM transitioning from pits to underground.
    PNR transitioning from pits to underground.
    RMS deferring Edna May open pit cutback.

    Would not be surprised to see Hwy diversion and open pits deferred or abandoned altogether, particularly if Alkane can mine San Antonio from underground and extend the TGEP orebody's both and vertically.

    Tomingley-Mine-Life-Extended-Beyond-2030.pdf (alkane.com.au)

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6121/6121310-fd5ef573061cb52dab3c05295d4fa09a.jpg

    I'd be interested to hear your thoughts on the potential economic viability of these pits @wassa.
    Their plans look very impressive with waste movement and haulage remaining nice and tight throughout LOM.
    Strip ratio would be my biggest concern. Lots of dirt to move to get to that gold. Is there a better way to access this gold in this highly inflationary environment?
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6121/6121317-5249cf1f229d4e8212fd35f6b86fc4dd.jpg
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6121/6121320-59b8df7305236356d0a08e2d0ac2de8c.jpg
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6121/6121328-87cd2f9a281221f5b9d7828066773906.jpg
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6121/6121330-05af9e6cd16680322c3c163c99461f96.jpg

    Last edited by Joelstar: 23/04/24
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add ALK (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
Last
57.5¢
Change
-0.010(1.71%)
Mkt cap ! $346.9M
Open High Low Value Volume
58.5¢ 59.0¢ 56.5¢ $1.109M 1.920M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
2 47384 57.5¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
58.5¢ 20486 2
View Market Depth
Last trade - 16.10pm 03/05/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
Last
57.5¢
  Change
-0.010 ( 2.08 %)
Open High Low Volume
58.5¢ 59.0¢ 56.5¢ 493430
Last updated 15.59pm 03/05/2024 ?
ALK (ASX) Chart
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.