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I look at the update of this chart every month. The deficit is...

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    I look at the update of this chart every month. The deficit is supposed to be lower this year ie $1.4 tr compared to 2023 of $1.7tr. But at the end of March it is very close to 2023 and timing differences reduced the deficit by about $70b. Being already $1.1tr it seems the $1.4tr budget is very unlikely to be met.

    What makes the comparison worse is that the 2023 deficit would have been $2tr but for issues around studIent loans which reduced the deficit - my best guess is 2024 budget deficit will approach $2tr.

    If the USA enters even a mild recession the deficit is set to worsen.

    All this is not good news which may be goo$ for POG.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6095/6095050-8b5719b4ca286b6ae9cc60a0b3a2e9d1.jpg
 
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