"I suspect the SP will head back to around $10 with a stock overhang short term.
Shorted it - see what happens"
Boy, Captain, shorting a half-decent stock like this - when the prospective P/E multiple is less than 12 times - is ballsy.
Calling it down to a price level which would represent a P/E of a little over 10x is doubly so.
I dunno so much... feels to me like a tough ask.
.
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