LPE 4.35% 12.0¢ locality planning energy holdings limited

Ann: Guidence Update, page-10

  1. 3,548 Posts.
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    $2m PBT, take out Biohub interest $1.3m

    Biohub loan at full value is 3.4cps
    Tax losses (assuming used now, not discounted for future use) is 3.6cps - they'd be valued pretty close to full by a more profitable acquirer.

    That's ~7cps in assets that are not required for the business to operate.

    Take $1.3m PBT, add $1.25m (mid point) of est. energy savings = $2.55m.

    At 12x, that's $30.6m or ~17cps. Add the above assets at 7cps = 24cps


    And that's before you factor in:
    - Additional leads (up 70%)
    - Cross sell potential for internet services, etc.
    - Additional cost cutting (sounds like previous mgment/board were far from frugal)

    Base case for me here is 25cps, potentially up to 40cps if you take a 20x multiple on earnings

    Rerate still happening.
 
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