I would say CAT are the most vulnerable company in this space, simply because they went for a land grab and have huge overheads.
The original reason i bought the stock was because i thought this would work and all the competition would be burned.
That has obviously not worked and now they have massive costs just at the wrong time,
I have carried out a detailed analysis of the CAT revenue making the following assumptions.
80% of current service recurring revenue clients continue to pay
CAT get 20% of last years H2 revenue.
My estimation is that they will run out of cash by July/August
If Clients stop paying then it will be sooner.
I assume that all the contracts have force majeure clauses, which does not bare contemplating!!
A CR now is virtually impossible.
We had a market rally today (and yesterday) and CAT continued to fall, TBH that is ominous!!
How can Qantas stock go up by 26% while planes are on the tarmac and CAT stock continue to go down?
I am glad i got out a few weeks back and took my loses and ran.
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$2.00 |
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Mkt cap ! $520.5M |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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1 | 1829 | 1.965 |
1 | 1829 | 1.960 |
2 | 2329 | 1.955 |
4 | 22717 | 1.950 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
2.000 | 28087 | 3 |
2.010 | 4305 | 1 |
2.050 | 11750 | 4 |
2.060 | 31045 | 3 |
2.070 | 1000 | 1 |
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