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Market seems to be giving long odds on a major deal being signed...

  1. Mr-Chow
    874 Posts.
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    16/07/21
    22:47
    Post #: 54566059
    Market seems to be giving long odds on a major deal being signed in 2022 FY.

    What the bet is (by using best guess inputs):

    Major Deal Yes:
    $11m revenue @ 10x multiple for a $110m market cap = $97m gain

    Major Deal No:
    50% share price loss for a $6m market cap = $7m loss

    So market is providing 14 to 1 odds of this occuring.



    ID8 Price at posting: 8.9¢ Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Not Held
    Likes Created with Sketch. 1  Upvote
    lightbulb Created with Sketch.  Great analysis
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