15% discount rate will not even be close to get a buyer.
This is a risky instrument and hard to sell for a few reasons:
1. There is oil production risk. Early production signs are positive but even so, at $70/bbl you'll only just get the full contingent payment. If there are production issues, then not enough barrels will come out even at $70/bbl to get the full payment.
2. It's very expensive to hedge oil, so if you want a 15% p.a return after hedging, you need to be buying at closer to a 40% discount rate before hedging costs.
3. Senegal is a risky jurisdiction and they will try and hit you any way they can think off to extract your money. See prior Senegal / FAR / Capricorn energy dispute and now Woodside / Senegal dispute.
If you get unlucky on any of the 3 above, a lot of money can be lost on this.
The odds of getting a sale away in my view are low.
Management will likely be happy to sit on the contingent payment and get paid for another 3 years of doing nothing unless major shareholders push them.
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Last
40.0¢ |
Change
0.010(2.56%) |
Mkt cap ! $36.96M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
38.0¢ | 40.0¢ | 38.0¢ | $4.78K | 12.26K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 6902 | 38.5¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
40.0¢ | 35927 | 3 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 6902 | 0.385 |
2 | 157893 | 0.380 |
2 | 149500 | 0.375 |
1 | 48190 | 0.370 |
2 | 51402 | 0.360 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.400 | 35927 | 3 |
0.405 | 7000 | 1 |
0.415 | 1000 | 1 |
0.420 | 50000 | 2 |
0.430 | 2000 | 1 |
Last trade - 13.31pm 16/06/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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FAR (ASX) Chart |