15% discount rate will not even be close to get a buyer.
This is a risky instrument and hard to sell for a few reasons:
1. There is oil production risk. Early production signs are positive but even so, at $70/bbl you'll only just get the full contingent payment. If there are production issues, then not enough barrels will come out even at $70/bbl to get the full payment.
2. It's very expensive to hedge oil, so if you want a 15% p.a return after hedging, you need to be buying at closer to a 40% discount rate before hedging costs.
3. Senegal is a risky jurisdiction and they will try and hit you any way they can think off to extract your money. See prior Senegal / FAR / Capricorn energy dispute and now Woodside / Senegal dispute.
If you get unlucky on any of the 3 above, a lot of money can be lost on this.
The odds of getting a sale away in my view are low.
Management will likely be happy to sit on the contingent payment and get paid for another 3 years of doing nothing unless major shareholders push them.
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Last
50.0¢ |
Change
-0.015(2.91%) |
Mkt cap ! $46.20M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
51.0¢ | 51.0¢ | 50.0¢ | $13.38K | 26.64K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 99993 | 50.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
51.0¢ | 314682 | 3 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 99993 | 0.500 |
2 | 32029 | 0.495 |
1 | 38794 | 0.475 |
1 | 42553 | 0.470 |
1 | 3000 | 0.465 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.510 | 59301 | 2 |
0.515 | 23257 | 2 |
0.520 | 338616 | 8 |
0.540 | 451 | 1 |
0.550 | 2285 | 1 |
Last trade - 15.44pm 08/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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