FAR 2.91% 50.0¢ far limited

15% discount rate will not even be close to get a buyer.This is...

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  1. 379 Posts.
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    15% discount rate will not even be close to get a buyer.

    This is a risky instrument and hard to sell for a few reasons:
    1. There is oil production risk. Early production signs are positive but even so, at $70/bbl you'll only just get the full contingent payment. If there are production issues, then not enough barrels will come out even at $70/bbl to get the full payment.
    2. It's very expensive to hedge oil, so if you want a 15% p.a return after hedging, you need to be buying at closer to a 40% discount rate before hedging costs.
    3. Senegal is a risky jurisdiction and they will try and hit you any way they can think off to extract your money. See prior Senegal / FAR / Capricorn energy dispute and now Woodside / Senegal dispute.

    If you get unlucky on any of the 3 above, a lot of money can be lost on this.

    The odds of getting a sale away in my view are low.

    Management will likely be happy to sit on the contingent payment and get paid for another 3 years of doing nothing unless major shareholders push them.
 
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Last
50.0¢
Change
-0.015(2.91%)
Mkt cap ! $46.20M
Open High Low Value Volume
51.0¢ 51.0¢ 50.0¢ $13.38K 26.64K

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
1 99993 50.0¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
51.0¢ 314682 3
View Market Depth
Last trade - 15.44pm 08/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
FAR (ASX) Chart
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