LYC 0.51% $7.82 lynas rare earths limited

Ann: Half Year Report FY24 (including Annexure 4D), page-63

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  1. 7,711 Posts.
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    As i have said before As a US citizen I am not allowed to do puts or shorts on Lynas because it does not meet US SEC Requirements for those. So no I have no puts or shorts.

    Yes there are a couple of ways around it but I do not do those type of trades.
    You should do some research. Look at SAR PG 23 And read note 2 and compare with either AR a year ago SAR. Non CAPX expenses are way UP.

    It is unlikely they can make enough profit to support a $6.00 SP even if volume is 1.5 X What AL said they would do. If they are only at a 6K run rate then they are not even at what she predicted.

    Here is some basic math. To Support a $6.00 SP with 934 M shares at a pe of 20 they need 6.00 X 933M /20 in profit That is 280 M in profit they did 39M in H1 so that means they need 240M in H2. This is not going to happen even if they make 3 X What AL said In H2 JMO they will not make 100 M in H2 of 139 M for 2024.

    I have no idea why stock is holding at $6.00 so maybe I am wrong Sooner or later the glow will wear off and people will start looking at profits. Only profits can fuel growth. Here is a chart of Revenue and profits for last 24 Months does this look like a company that can support a high PE. I will stay away till something changes. 1.5 years and profits have fallen form 384M H2 2022 to 39M H1 2024
    .
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6003/6003469-7da6aa19b20b47aa44789c854a0943f8.jpg

 
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Last
$7.82
Change
0.040(0.51%)
Mkt cap ! $7.346B
Open High Low Value Volume
$7.82 $8.03 $7.78 $35.78M 4.524M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
5 5676 $7.81
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
$7.82 4179 9
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Last trade - 11.46am 04/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
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