CSL 0.46% $309.52 csl limited

Ann: Half Year Results Analyst Presentation, page-43

  1. 599 Posts.
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    Again, great business, but it can be a great business and overvalued on its fundamentals at the same time. Reading the comments I jotted down the following things (that I also suffer from / have suffered from) that have cost me money and now try to avoid:

    -narrative fallacy (it's great because of x, y, z)
    - familiarity bias (I know it, where else would I put my money?)
    - recency bias (it's gone up in 'x' period of time)
    - extrapolation fallacy (it's always been a great stock, therefore, it will continue to be a great stock forever)
    - fear of missing out (it might go higher / I don't want to miss out on more gains / ive always regrettted selling)
    - Nelsonian denial - (don't want to assess / even engage with the possible downside factors objectively because I like the good news better)
    - inertia - (I've always held it)
 
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