TNT 0.00% 13.0¢ tesserent limited

Isn't it a red flag that no one can agree on what metric to use,...

  1. 53 Posts.
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    Isn't it a red flag that no one can agree on what metric to use, because management reporting is so deliberately wishy-washy?

    For the purposes of the above statement alone, I mean the number that is "EBITDA" in the 4C quarterly reports, which matches up to the number they call "operating EBITDA" in the 4E annual statements. I think any serious bidder would not use this number though, they would be looking at something like what Tesserent calls "normalised net profit before tax" which for Tesserent was ~$10m last year and I think will be $10-11m this year, depending on how they wish to calculate it this time.

    So an EV of around $80m to the upside.
    $80m EV less $45m debt + $7m cash = $35m MC ./ 1.345b SOI = $0.031

    You can extrapolate this out to FY24 or FY25

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/5124/5124766-691bcc8636fb5bc5f31c9f560fc9484b.jpg

    The assumptions in the above quick and dirty table are so unbelievably favorable it's a joke, and still the price targets look abysmal.

 
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