My current expectations for FY23 final figures (A$m) are:
Operating EBITDA 19.0 1 Normalised NPBT 10.1 2 Statutory Profit/Loss (0.5)
I will review them after the next 4C, and obviously they will shift with any further acquisitions or own goals. At current EV of ~$134m I see an EV/OpEBITDA multiple of 7, so we are discussing the same ballpark valuation @tamz.
Where we differ is that I think EV/NPBT is the most applicable metric because leases, interest expenses, and D&A are all realities for an acquirer. That multiple is currently ~13-14x and I'm not forecasting that number to have grown organically since last year thanks to increases in interest expenses and D&A. NPAT is even worse, being dragged on by SBC, the ALC acquisition, Daltry and I've made small provisions for financing costs and losses on investments.
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