NCK 0.06% $15.41 nick scali limited

""..not often a company posts a 29% fall in profit and EPS, but...

  1. 16,402 Posts.
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    ""..not often a company posts a 29% fall in profit and EPS, but the share price jumps by 17%!"

    Yeah, prima facie that looks curious, but not that strange when the context is considered; namely that the previous corresponding period, from which this result is down 29%, was an absolute monster, 46% higher than its pcp, as can be seen in the graph below (for clarity, December half bars are amplified with darker shading compare to unshaded June half bars):

    NCK Half-Yearly.JPG

    A better way to view DH2023's performance is to compare it with DH2021 (i.e., ignoring the DH2022 outlier year). In that case the two-year increase is 28%(as indicated by the green arrow).

    That, I think, is a truer reflection of the underlying performance of the business.

    (Yes, I know that things would not look all that rosy if we went back as far as DH2020 as the base year, but I don't believe that to be a representative period at all, given it reflects the pent-up demand after Covid.)

    .
 
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