PEN peninsula energy limited

Ann: Half Yearly Report and Accounts, page-123

  1. 5,999 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 4380
    Weekly data and thoughts.
    .
    Please note that all my views are for short-term only, and I could be wrong, so please dyor.

    .
    .

    .Uranium Sector Overview-
    .

    PEN still not trading, so nothing to write for trading pattern of PEN.

    .
    Review of KEY indicators?
    Lets look at 3 key indicators that provide market direction for short term, same as I have been doing for last few months -
    .
    • CCJ - MONSTER week, added over 7% this week, with 2.5% last week, 10% week before - moved from 68.27 to 73.27
    • BOE/PDN - GREAT week, gain of 5% for BOE (last week 20%) and 9% (last week 17%) for PDN -
    • Spot Futures - MONSTER week, moved from 75.90 to 79.05, inching towards psychological 80, which will be scaled now it seems, next we.
    .
    So what are the numbers telling? (similar to last week)
    • U sector overall playing very strongly
    • There are no clear signs that we may have topped or topping,
    • CCJ made a great move last week, and has continued to go from strength to strength
    • ASX U stocks had a great week on the back of a monster last week
    • Spot price is also making a move. For several years 80 (with inflation could be 85 now) has been touted as a number for companies to be profitable/to reopen, its inching towards 80 now



    Personally, Last week I had mentioned I had got out around 80% of U. Added a few this week, some stocks still at similar level I got out, couple have moved ahead. Looks like still some legs for this rise. Spot will be taken over 80, which may provide some impetus. One thing I don't like about CCJ is that its not doing consolidation. It did that in 50s, then 60, but since then hasn't done. So if something goes wrong, there may be a steep fall. Also CCJ in under 3 months has moved from 35 to 75, nearly 115% gain. Its not a small stock, over $32b US dollars, so nearly $50b AUD. For it to make such a big gain in such a short time is spectacular, but also raises question - can the next 3 months repeat last 3 months?
    .

    So what may happen next week?
    • Last week I thought CCJ may consolidate before moving towards mid 70s. I was wrong. It has moved ahead and made 75 this week
    • Based on what is happening, most expect that this rise will continue.
    • There is a slight disconnect between my trading pattern where I felt a consolidation and then move up is better, but its not happening. So I am just playing the price action, but very cautiously. Before last week I was very confident and put nearly all on U stocks. Now I have much less, but watching and adding slowly if price action is supported.
    • Spot should cross 80 this week.
    • CCJ could make a move towards 80. Sometime I feel CCJ price and Spot price are in a race - very close price range in 70s, who wants to be ahead?
    • On Monday, US U stocks had another good day, so hopefully a bright start on Monday

    .
    Here is the Figures for the Week:.
    .
    .
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/7096/7096457-3e6fa82a1798901a4451cde7e4a7fefe.jpg
 
Add to My Watchlist
What is My Watchlist?
A personalised tool to help users track selected stocks. Delivering real-time notifications on price updates, announcements, and performance stats on each to help make informed investment decisions.
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.