It is a fantastic company with 50% of revenue going into the bottom line, and the revenue is growing strongly. But is currently trading at ~150x revenue. What does this mean? Given that it has 9% market share, and if it achieves the improbable and absolute dominance of this market at a 90% market share, its revenue will go up by 10x. At that point, the investor is left with a very profitable, but barely growing business at 2-3% pa. Assume at that point 70% of revenue becomes the bottom line, which is the maximum possible, then the PE will be 150x/10/0.7=21.4, which is about right for a very profitable but slow growing business in a relatively low interest rate environment. At its growth rate of ~30%pa, it takes about 8 years to grow 10x. So given today's price implies a PE of ~21 in 8 years under the most optimistic assumptions, the investor will get nothing for 8 years.
This simple math illustrates how a most excellent business can become absurdly valued. If the investor wants to get 10%pa for his risk for sitting 8 years on it, then under the best assumptions the share price must more than halve today to deliver the 10% return for the next 8 years. Anything less optimistic than the above assumptions will decimate the share price in those intervening 8 years despite the company being a fantastic business.
This is just some rational illustrations for this super-expensive stock. Don't take this as a given. I am not an advisor. Do your own analysis of the future scenarios and draw your own conclusions. I have followed this stock since its listing. It was one of the great success stories in the health technology space. I am only highlighting the current valuation issue. Other than that, I absolutely admire the company's management for building this incredible business.
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- Ann: HY25 Results Presentation
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pro medicus limited
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$324.89

Ann: HY25 Results Presentation, page-8
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Last
$324.89 |
Change
0.145(0.04%) |
Mkt cap ! $33.92B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$322.84 | $325.14 | $321.11 | $1.150M | 3.555K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
8 | 65 | $324.63 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$325.14 | 15 | 3 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
6 | 197 | 340.970 |
1 | 10 | 340.650 |
1 | 5 | 339.350 |
1 | 70 | 334.510 |
6 | 46 | 332.690 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
305.250 | 26 | 4 |
308.500 | 339 | 1 |
308.510 | 309 | 5 |
310.130 | 18 | 1 |
313.230 | 105 | 2 |
Last trade - 10.04am 16/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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CHARIOT CORPORATION LTD
Shanthar Pathmanathan, MD
Shanthar Pathmanathan
MD
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