"What was it that made the decision to go deeper into risky ground when it was not necessary for a discovery"
Unless they penetrated the Uper Angwa they'd never know its overpressured. The only way to establish whether a section is overpressured is to drill it and either see how the well behaves or run an MDT and actually measure the pressure. If they hadnt drilled the LA in M2 theyd have to do it at some stage and go through exactly the same process of having to bump up mud weight to mitigate the unexpected jump in formation pressure
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