Its the facts we have in hand that have to be the judge of how likely a sample is.
The unknowns are will the tools cope with the environment this time around?
We know we have on working from the recovered water and gas sample.
Is the hole going to behave itself?
I'm personally of the belief that ALL the issues we have encountered to date, aside from Bakers shite tools.....even that I'm not sure is entirely their fault given SLB have failed twice, at least they have one win to their name, are related to mud weight.
I think if we can keep that to an acceptable level, get in and out asap, then our chances are very high. 90% IMO.
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